2021-05-13 All-Hands Presentation Meeting Notes
Presenter: Hailong Wang
Title: Climate responses to emissions reductions due to COVID-19
Abstract:
The worldwide dramatic responses to the COVID-19 pandemic, following China’s nationwide lockdown in late January 2020, have led to a large reduction in human activities and thus emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs) and aerosols. This has also triggered research interest in the environmental and climate sciences community in understanding the impacts of these reductions. Observation-based and modeling studies have shown discernible impacts of COVID-19 lockdowns and restrictions on regional air quality and climate. By prescribing aerosol emission changes during the lockdown, back‐to‐work and post‐lockdown stages of COVID‐19 in a global climate model, Yang et al. (2020) show a surface warming effect over several continental regions of the Northern Hemisphere via aerosol-radiation and aerosol-cloud interactions. A dozen earth system models, including E3SM, participated in a coordinated model intercomparison (CovidMIP) to examine climate responses to short-term emissions reductions due to COVID-19 (Jones et al., 2021). Using E3SMv1, we performed 10 initial-condition ensemble simulations that impose a “two-year blip” forcing (i.e., two-year reductions in GHGs and aerosol emissions, starting in 2020 and reverting to the baseline SSP2-45 levels by the end of 2022). The 12 models agree on the reduced aerosol loading and associated increases in shortwave radiation at the surface. The global mean impact on surface air temperature and rainfall during 2020-2024 is small, but there are interesting regional signals of changes in temperature and precipitation. The CovidMIP initial analysis and some highlights of E3SMv1 results will be discussed in this presentation.
Date
Time
- PT: 8:30 am
- ET: 11:30 am
Call Info
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Attendees
- Luke Van Roekel
- Hailong Wang
- Jayesh Krishna
- Ruby Leung
- Wuyin Lin
- Trevor Hillebrand
- Qi Tang
- Jon Wolfe
- Stephen Price
- Bryce Harrop
- Michael J Prather
- Matt Hoffman
- Carolyn Begeman
- Darin Comeau
- Philip Cameron-Smith (Unlicensed)
- Jim Benedict
- Chris Golaz
- Khachik Sargsyan
- Qing Li (Unlicensed)
- Phil Rasch (pnl.gov)
- Charlie Zender
- Holly Davis (Unlicensed)
- Michael Brunke
- Karthik Balaguru
- Sarat Sreepathi
- daniel kaufman (Unlicensed)
- Katherine Smith
- Renata McCoy
- Andy Salinger
- Azamat Mametjanov
- Peter Bogenschutz
- Celine Bonfils (Unlicensed)
- Peter Caldwell
- Charlie Zender
- Chris Terai
- Xujing Jia Davis
- Aaron Donahue
- Yan Feng
- Ryan Forsyth
- Oksana Guba
- Holly Davis (Unlicensed)
- Iulian Grindeanu
- Hyun-Gyu Kang
- daniel kaufman (Unlicensed)
- Ziming KeKhachik Sargsyan
- LeAnn Conlon
- Meng Zhang (Unlicensed)
- Mingxuan Wu
- Nicole Jeffery
- Mikhail Ovchinnikov
- Walter Hannah
- Sarat Sreepathi
- Shaocheng Xie
- Steven Brus
Presentation